Hong Kong, China’s economic recovery has taken hold, with growth reaching 3.6 percent in 2025, supported by buoyant external trade, tourism and financial activities. Amid global trade tensions, Hong Kong’s role as a bridge between the Chinese Mainland and the rest of the world has become an important source of resilience. However, the recovery remains uneven: externally oriented and financial sectors have outpaced other services, while residential property has begun to recover but commercial real estate remains subdued. Broadening growth momentum and fostering new growth drivers will therefore be key.
The economy is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with projections of 3.4 percent and 3.0 percent growth in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Goods exports are expected to remain resilient, supported by the ongoing global technology upcycle.