PTC Therapeutics Inc Risk Points versus Health Care


PTC Therapeutics Inc Risk Points versus Health Care

PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT) Risk Points versus Health Care (XLV)

Date Published:



PREFACE


This is a scatter plot analysis of the critical risk points from the option market for PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT)
compared to its own past and the Health Care ETF. In order to examine the forward looking risk for PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT) the next 30-days, we must look to the option market.

Now, before we dive into the analysis on PTCT, we make one critical note since we’re talking about options:


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In the “Why This Matters” section at the end of this article on PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT) , we’re going to take a step back and show in great specificity
that there is actually a lot less “luck” in successful option trading than many people know.

But that’s at the end, now let’s jump back into the risk point charting and number crunching for PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT) . We start by noting that PTCT is in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sector which means along with some other industries we also compare the company to the closest match we could find, which was
the Health Care ETF (XLV) as a proxy for PTC Therapeutics Inc.

We have highlighted the IV30® for XLV and for PTCT in the table below.




SNAPSHOT SUMMARY














CONTEXT: THE INDICES
S&P 500 (SPY) IV30     10.71%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) IV30     13.98%
Health Care ETF (XLV) IV30     11.64%
Biotech (IBB) IV30     20.02%

PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT)
PTCT 52 Week Low IV30     58.53%
PTCT Current IV30     142.11%
PTCT 52 Week High IV30     184.15%

PTCT Current HV30     48.63%




PTC Therapeutics Inc Implied Risk Scatter Plot

(a new risk chart, built for option traders)

Scatter Plot Risk Legend


The blue point is the current 30-day implied volatility for PTC Therapeutics Inc.


The black point is the current 30-day implied volatility for the Health Care ETF (XLV).


The red point is the 52 week low in IV30® for PTC Therapeutics Inc.


The green point is the 52 week high in IV30® for PTC Therapeutics Inc.

The various other scatter plot points in the middle give us risk context outside of the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sector.

The IV30® is the risk reflected by the option market in the stock price for the next 30 calendar days.

* We can see that the risk as reflected by the option market for the next 30-days for PTC Therapeutics Inc is above all the indices we have
charted including the Health Care ETF (XLV).

* We can further see that the current IV30 for PTC Therapeutics Inc of 142.11% is closer to the annual high of 184.15% than the annual low of 58.53%. Simply stated, this means that the option market is pricing less risk than the average over the past year.

* For some context, we note that the annual range in IV30® for the Health Care ETF is between [9.2%, 23.51%]
while PTC Therapeutics Inc has had a range of [58.53%, 184.15%].


Get this same analysis on any ticker here:

A New Kind of Risk Point Chart


This is chart was developed for the trader. It allows us to easily see where the forward looking risk for PTC Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:PTCT) lies relative
to the last year, and the various major stock groupings and the Biotechnology and Pharmaceutical sector without using time series data, which can confuse the information.









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